FrigidLabs Case study sample Read the case →

Halcyon — Subscriptions, Revenue & Funnel

App Store + Stripe + website weekly snapshots · case study sample (Apr 30, 2026)
← Back to case study
This Week
(May 7)
Target curve: 20 plans on iOS to stay on the 15.35% line (already cleared at 21). To maintain your 24% lead: aim for 24+ plans (+3 net new this week). To extend the lead at last week's pace: target 25+.
iOS Goal · Dec 31
2,500
From 11 → need 15.35% WoW · 24% ahead
Combined MRR
$3.0K
$2.7K Stripe · $254 iOS (net)
Combined ARR
$35.7K
Annualized at current pace
Stripe Active
31
9 monthly  ·  22 annual
iOS Active (May 1)
21
15 monthly  ·  6 annual
3-wk avg WoW (iOS)
24%
vs. 15.35% target rate

iOS goal trajectory — actual vs. 15.35% WoW path to 2,500

Log scale · target compounds 15.35% WoW from 11 plans on Apr 9 to 2,500 on Dec 31, 2026 (38 weeks)
Actual iOS plans Target trajectory (15.35% WoW) Goal: 2,500 by Dec 31

Stripe — subscriptions: history + forecast

Solid: actual cumulative active. Dashed: forecast at +0.6/wk annual, +1.5/wk monthly
Annual (actual) Monthly (actual) Annual (forecast) Monthly (forecast)

Combined MRR — history + forecast

Stripe (actual & linear) + iOS (tied to goal trajectory) · log scale
Stripe MRR Stripe forecast iOS MRR (net) iOS at goal pace

iOS — Active plans by week

Subscribers as of week ending
Annual Monthly

iOS WoW growth — actual vs. 15.35% target

Week-over-week growth rate in iOS active plans

iOS acquisition funnel — last 4 weeks

Impressions, store views, downloads

Website — visits & meetings booked

Weekly visits (left) and meetings booked (right)

iOS churn — weekly cancels

Plans cancelled in the 7 days ending each Thursday

Quick reads — week of Apr 30

Stripe figures pulled live from the client's Stripe account via MCP connector. Stripe revenue computed from actual price data (9 monthly + 22 annual subscriptions). Stripe forecast: linear extrapolation from recent pace (annual +0.636/wk over last 11 weeks; monthly +1.5/wk, moderated from +2.25/wk early ramp). iOS pricing: $14.99/mo or $149/yr; net revenue applies Apple Small Business Program 15% commission. iOS revenue forecast assumes the goal trajectory holds and current 71/29 monthly/annual mix is stable. Goal trajectory compounds 15.35% WoW from 11 active iOS plans on Apr 9, 2026 to 2,500 on Dec 31, 2026.